Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.293638 0.343266 0.395691 0.454912 0.519668 0.588056 0.665470
2025-02-02 0.227789 0.296130 0.373062 0.464921 0.570487 0.686950 0.824093
2025-02-09 0.172529 0.250058 0.342984 0.459805 0.600076 0.760626 0.955822
2025-02-16 0.136931 0.220597 0.326958 0.466912 0.641309 0.846981 1.103412
2025-02-23 0.105797 0.190843 0.305715 0.463754 0.667641 0.914692 1.229619
2025-03-02 0.076616 0.157746 0.275046 0.444232 0.670338 0.951712 1.318109
2025-03-09 0.061010 0.141418 0.264666 0.449397 0.703186 1.025478 1.451856
2025-03-16 0.045298 0.121131 0.245472 0.439850 0.714799 1.071329 1.550617
2025-03-23 0.038565 0.115007 0.246680 0.458644 0.764440 1.166483 1.712616
2025-03-30 0.029754 0.102508 0.235905 0.458418 0.786984 1.225925 1.829319
2025-04-06 0.023006 0.092186 0.227165 0.460046 0.811366 1.287532 1.949079
2025-04-13 0.018652 0.085900 0.224461 0.470383 0.847931 1.365623 2.090951
2025-04-20 0.015408 0.081510 0.224939 0.486164 0.893525 1.457834 2.254307
2025-04-27 0.012610 0.077283 0.225142 0.501297 0.938412 1.549792 2.418641
2025-05-04 0.008946 0.068506 0.215166 0.498603 0.956205 1.604341 2.533640
2025-05-11 0.006821 0.063637 0.212371 0.507656 0.991686 1.683817 2.682827
2025-05-18 0.004579 0.056449 0.203457 0.505212 1.009034 1.737706 2.797777
2025-05-25 0.002357 0.046159 0.185545 0.485052 0.997520 1.749801 2.855425
2025-06-01 0.001531 0.042293 0.182044 0.490812 1.026831 1.820528 2.993885
2025-06-08 0.000703 0.035866 0.170748 0.480858 1.030192 1.853343 3.080019
2025-06-15 0.000517 0.035302 0.174913 0.500873 1.082720 1.958488 3.267466
2025-06-22 0.000220 0.031408 0.169069 0.500688 1.101755 2.014475 3.386699
2025-06-29 0.000074 0.028187 0.164428 0.502445 1.123805 2.074960 3.512571